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Bijan Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins

Bijan Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-245/+225).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -245.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

After averaging -1.0 air yards per game last season, Bijan Robinson has been rising this season, now boasting 9.0 per game.

Bijan Robinson's 33.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 21.9.

The Falcons O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Falcons are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 56.0% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.6% red zone run rate.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.

More Bijan Robinson Player Props

Bijan Robinson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins

Bijan Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8