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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +144 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +144.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.8 plays per game.
  • Bijan Robinson has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (11.0 per game) than he did last season (-1.0 per game).
  • Bijan Robinson's 32.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 21.9.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-most run-oriented offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 48.5% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to be a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack near the end zone in this contest (20.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (33.3% in games he has played).
  • Bijan Robinson's 79.3% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteworthy regression in his receiving talent over last season's 87.4% figure.

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