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This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -4.5-point underdogs.The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Bijan Robinson has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 22.0% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.Bijan Robinson has compiled a whopping 4.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile among running backs. (This might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
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