My Account Log Out
 
 
Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Bijan Robinson has compiled a colossal 7.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not sound too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Bijan Robinson's 30.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 21.9.
  • The Falcons O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Bijan Robinson ranks in the 89th percentile among running backs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.20 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 55.7% of their plays: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 6th-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 47.7% red zone run rate.
  • The projections expect the Falcons to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to be much less involved in his team's pass attack near the end zone in this contest (19.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (26.7% in games he has played).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™