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Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 76.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 74.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.8 plays per game.

In this game, Bijan Robinson is expected by the model to slot into the 81st percentile among running backs with 14.9 carries.

Bijan Robinson has earned 56.8% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With a fantastic record of 3.58 yards after contact (78th percentile), Bijan Robinson stands as one of the powerful running backs in the NFL this year.

The Buffalo Bills defense has produced the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding 5.42 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

The model projects the Falcons as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 42.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are projected by the projection model to call only 61.9 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

Bijan Robinson's 61.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a meaningful decrease in his rushing prowess over last season's 81.0 mark.

More Bijan Robinson Player Props

Bijan Robinson Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6