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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-110/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 76.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 81.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 7th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

In this game, Bijan Robinson is expected by the projections to place in the 94th percentile among RBs with 17.7 rush attempts.

Among all running backs, Bijan Robinson ranks in the 89th percentile for carries this year, taking on 59.7% of the workload in his offense's running game.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the league (128 per game) against the Commanders defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Falcons offense has played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 29.43 seconds per play.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

Bijan Robinson's 57.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows a significant regression in his running proficiency over last season's 81.0 mark.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Washington's unit has been great since the start of last season, grading out as the best in football.

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