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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 80.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 80.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 4.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 48.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).

The Falcons have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier weather in this game.

In this game, Bijan Robinson is anticipated by the projection model to rank in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.0 carries.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see just 121.5 plays on offense run: the lowest number on the slate this week.

Bijan Robinson has been a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (54.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (65.3%).

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Carolina's group of DEs has been excellent since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

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