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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 82.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 84.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 44.4% run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to garner 19.2 rush attempts this week, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Among all RBs, Bijan Robinson ranks in the 95th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 64.0% of the workload in his team's run game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's unit has been terrific this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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