My Account Log Out
 
 
Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 74.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect Bijan Robinson to accrue 16.4 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
  • Bijan Robinson has garnered 63.8% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are enormous underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to run on 38.8% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Bijan Robinson has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (68.0) this season than he did last season (82.0).
  • This year, the weak Los Angeles Rams run defense has surrendered a staggering 4.08 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 18th-largest rate in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™