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Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 75.5 (-108/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 74.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 75.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the most run-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 44.7% run rate.

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.

This week, Bijan Robinson is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 87th percentile among RBs with 18.4 carries.

Among all running backs, Bijan Robinson ranks in the 93rd percentile for carries this year, comprising 64.0% of the workload in his offense's running game.

With an excellent record of 3.76 yards after contact (93rd percentile), Bijan Robinson places among the unyielding RBs in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Bijan Robinson's 71.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a substantial decrease in his rushing ability over last year's 82.0 mark.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

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Bijan Robinson Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15