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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-110/+101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.17 seconds per play.
  • In this contest, Bijan Robinson is expected by the predictive model to find himself in the 86th percentile among running backs with 17.0 carries.
  • Bijan Robinson has garnered 63.8% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • With a terrific rate of 3.82 yards after contact (95th percentile), Bijan Robinson places among the strongest RBs in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Falcons, who are heavy -7-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to run on 40.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Bijan Robinson has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (70.0) this season than he did last season (82.0).
  • This year, the formidable Seahawks run defense has given up a feeble 88.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 3rd-best in football.

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