My Account Log Out
 
 
Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to accrue 6.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Bijan Robinson's 30.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 21.9.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in football (57.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projection model to call just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Bijan Robinson's 79.6% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a remarkable regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 87.3% mark.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 9th-best in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™