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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.8 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Bijan Robinson to accumulate 6.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Bijan Robinson's 19.7% Target Rate this year represents a remarkable gain in his passing offense utilization over last year's 14.7% rate.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • Bijan Robinson's 79.3% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteworthy regression in his receiving talent over last season's 87.4% figure.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, San Francisco's LB corps has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

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