Bijan Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

My Account Log Out

reorder

Bijan Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 30, 2025 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are enormous underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
In this contest, Bijan Robinson is anticipated by the projections to find himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs with 7.2 targets.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
Bijan Robinson's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 87.5% to 78.2%.
This year, the strong Los Angeles Rams defense has surrendered a puny 78.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.
The Rams linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

More Bijan Robinson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow