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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 133.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The model projects Bijan Robinson to earn 6.1 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Bijan Robinson's 29.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 21.9.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.
  • Bijan Robinson checks in as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging an outstanding 4.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Bijan Robinson's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 87.4% to 82.1%.

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