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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to accrue 6.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Bijan Robinson's 30.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 21.9.
  • The Falcons O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Bijan Robinson checks in as one of the leading pass-game running backs this year, averaging a stellar 4.3 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 55.7% of their plays: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Falcons to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Bijan Robinson's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 87.3% to 82.1%.

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