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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 9th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Atlanta Falcons last year (a whopping 59.2 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in the NFL (38.1 per game) last year.

With an impressive 66.6% Route% (100th percentile) last year, Bijan Robinson has been among the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the NFL.

The model projects Bijan Robinson to accrue 4.8 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Falcons to be the least pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 56.9% pass rate.

The model projects the Falcons to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

More Bijan Robinson Player Props

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