My Account Log Out
 
 
Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.2 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Our trusted projections expect Bijan Robinson to accumulate 7.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • After averaging -1.0 air yards per game last season, Bijan Robinson has been rising this season, now boasting 9.0 per game.
  • Bijan Robinson's 33.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 21.9.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a giant 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to pass on 56.0% of their downs: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • Bijan Robinson's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 87.3% to 77.9%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™