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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-113/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.8 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Bijan Robinson to accumulate 6.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Bijan Robinson's 19.7% Target Rate this year represents a remarkable gain in his passing offense utilization over last year's 14.7% rate.
  • Bijan Robinson has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (11.0 per game) than he did last season (-1.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • Bijan Robinson's 79.3% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteworthy regression in his receiving talent over last season's 87.4% figure.
  • Bijan Robinson's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.70 rate last year.
  • This year, the strong San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a feeble 4.7 yards.

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