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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The Falcons have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.8 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
  • Bijan Robinson's 77.5% Route Participation Rate this year reflects an impressive growth in his air attack workload over last year's 66.6% mark.
  • In this week's game, Bijan Robinson is projected by the model to position himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 6.3 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the least pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 56.9% pass rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are projected by the projection model to call only 61.9 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
  • Bijan Robinson's 78.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a substantial decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 87.4% rate.
  • Bijan Robinson's skills in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this year, compiling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.70 figure last year.

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