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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3.5-point underdog this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 129.0 total plays called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Vikings defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (35.8 per game) since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 6th-least pass-heavy team in football (57.7% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Falcons.

Bijan Robinson comes in as one of the worst running backs in football at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 3rd percentile.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus running backs since the start of last season, conceding 5.22 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Vikings defense has yielded the most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing running backs: a staggering 0.00 YAC.

The Minnesota Vikings safeties grade out as the 9th-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

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