My Account Log Out
 
 
Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to accumulate 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
  • Bijan Robinson's 20.6% Target Rate this year represents a material gain in his pass attack workload over last year's 14.7% figure.
  • As it relates to air yards, Bijan Robinson ranks in the lofty 95th percentile among RBs this year, accruing a massive 5.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.6% pass rate.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.1 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • Bijan Robinson's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 87.5% to 77.4%.
  • Bijan Robinson's skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.70 figure last year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™