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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are enormous underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • In this contest, Bijan Robinson is anticipated by the projections to find himself in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs with 7.2 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 61.4% of their chances: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Bijan Robinson's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 87.5% to 78.2%.
  • Bijan Robinson's talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this season, totaling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.70 figure last season.
  • This year, the strong Los Angeles Rams defense has surrendered a puny 78.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.
  • The Rams linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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