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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-102/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to accrue 6.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Bijan Robinson has compiled a colossal 7.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not sound too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Bijan Robinson's 30.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 21.9.
  • The Falcons O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 55.7% of their plays: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Falcons to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Bijan Robinson's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 87.3% to 82.1%.
  • Bijan Robinson's talent in picking up extra yardage have worsened this season, notching a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.70 mark last season.

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