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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • In this contest, Bijan Robinson is expected by the model to rank in the 98th percentile among RBs with 6.7 targets.
  • Bijan Robinson's 20.4% Target Rate this year illustrates a material gain in his pass game workload over last year's 14.7% figure.
  • In regards to air yards, Bijan Robinson grades out in the towering 95th percentile among running backs this year, averaging an astounding 7.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Falcons to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.9% pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Falcons to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Bijan Robinson's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 87.3% to 81.5%.
  • Bijan Robinson's talent in grinding out extra yardage have declined this season, compiling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.70 rate last season.
  • This year, the strong Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed a puny 75.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.

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