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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in football (42.2% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Falcons.
  • The Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.
  • Our trusted projections expect Bijan Robinson to garner 16.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
  • Bijan Robinson has received 59.4% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projection model to call just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, New England's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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