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Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.8 plays per game.

In this game, Bijan Robinson is expected by the model to slot into the 81st percentile among running backs with 14.9 carries.

Bijan Robinson has earned 56.8% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

The model projects the Falcons as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 42.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are projected by the projection model to call only 61.9 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

More Bijan Robinson Player Props

Bijan Robinson CarriesPlayer Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 6