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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (42.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 129.0 total plays called: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a colossal 59.7 per game on average).

The model projects Bijan Robinson to garner 13.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3.5-point underdog this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

While Bijan Robinson has received 64.1% of his team's carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Atlanta's run game in this week's contest at 50.8%.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Minnesota's LB corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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