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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-116/-116).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect Bijan Robinson to accrue 16.4 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
  • Bijan Robinson has garnered 63.8% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are enormous underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to run on 38.8% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Los Angeles Rams safeties rank as the 2nd-best safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

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