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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-103/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the most run-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 44.7% run rate.
  • The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.25 seconds per play.
  • This week, Bijan Robinson is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 87th percentile among RBs with 18.4 carries.
  • Among all running backs, Bijan Robinson ranks in the 93rd percentile for carries this year, comprising 64.0% of the workload in his offense's running game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

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