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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-112/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most run-focused offense in the NFL (44.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 142.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • In this game, Bijan Robinson is projected by the projections to rank in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.8 rush attempts.
  • Bijan Robinson has earned 63.2% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Saints defensive tackles rank as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

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