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Ben Skowronek

Ben Skowronek Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Ben Skowronek Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+3600/-9000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +4500 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +3600.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: most in the league.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 9th-highest level in the league vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 6th-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) vs. the Packers defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 49.0% rate of running the ball near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-focused offense in the NFL in this setting has been the Steelers.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 49.3 plays per game.
  • Ben Skowronek has totaled a meager 4.0 air yards per game this year: just 13th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Ben Skowronek's 3.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks among the worst in football: 9th percentile for wide receivers.

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