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Ben Skowronek Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1850/-3900).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3900.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.This year, the poor Bears defense has been gouged for a massive 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in the NFL.This year, the weak Bears defense has given up a massive 1.40 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-biggest rate in the NFL.When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Chicago's group of LBs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.With a meager 2.3% Red Zone Target Share (22nd percentile) this year, Ben Skowronek places as one of the wideouts with the highest volume near the end zone in football.When it comes to air yards, Ben Skowronek ranks in the paltry 9th percentile among wide receivers this year, accruing just 3.0 per game.Ben Skowronek ranks in just the 4th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a lackluster 2.6 mark this year.
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