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Ben Skowronek

Ben Skowronek Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Ben Skowronek Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ben Skowronek to be a more important option in his team's passing game this week (12.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.5% in games he has played).
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are an enormous 10.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
  • Ben Skowronek has been among the worst WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a measly 13.0 yards per game while checking in at the 18th percentile among WRs.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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