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Ben Skowronek

Ben Skowronek Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Ben Skowronek Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+347/-662).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -459 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -662.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Ben Skowronek to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack near the end zone this week (9.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • Ben Skowronek's 31.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 11.1.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Ben Skowronek has been among the most reliable receivers in football, hauling in a terrific 74.2% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the highest Completion% in the NFL (68.3%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (68.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have run the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 57.2 plays per game.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: least in the league.
  • Ben Skowronek ranks in the 1st percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

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