My Account Log Out
 
 
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+700/-930).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -840 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -930.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (59.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 134.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • Baker Mayfield has not attempted to run the ball himself near the goal line at all this year.
  • Baker Mayfield has been among the leading touchdown throwers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 1.62 per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • Baker Mayfield's 64.4% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates an impressive reduction in his passing precision over last season's 71.1% figure.
  • The New Orleans Saints defensive tackles profile as the worst DT corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™