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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+520/-630).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -550 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -630.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 8th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-most plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).
  • Baker Mayfield has been among the best TD passers in football this year, averaging a stellar 1.43 per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.
  • Baker Mayfield has not run for any TDs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.
  • While Baker Mayfield has accounted for 0.0% of his offense's red zone carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Tampa Bay's ground game near the end zone in this week's contest at 10.0%.
  • Baker Mayfield's throwing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 71.1% to 65.7%.

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