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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+700/-1000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -880 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.2% red zone pass rate.

The Buccaneers offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in football (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 27.75 seconds per play.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 5th-most in football.

Baker Mayfield has been one of the leading touchdown passers in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 1.60 per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect Baker Mayfield to be a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack near the end zone in this contest (11.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

Baker Mayfield's 60.4% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a material decrease in his passing precision over last season's 71.1% figure.

More Baker Mayfield Player Props

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