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Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (59.9% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.Taking on just 0.0% of his team's red zone rushing play calls this year (3rd percentile among QBs), Baker Mayfield's lack of mobility makes him no threat on the ground near the goal line.The Tampa Bay O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.The Saints defense has surrendered the 9th-most TDs through the air in football: 1.67 per game this year.
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