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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1000/-1400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.4% red zone pass rate.
  • Sitting at zero red zone carries this year, Baker Mayfield's immobility makes him a no threat with his legs near the goal line.
  • The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 7th-best group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
  • At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • Baker Mayfield's passing precision has worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 71.1% to 63.3%.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-lowest rate in the league versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (68.7% Adjusted Completion%).

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