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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+720/-740).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +730 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +720.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Baker Mayfield is more comfortable in the pocket and has accounted for a mere 0.0% of his offense's rush attempts near the end zone this year, putting him in the 2nd percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • With a very bad ratio of just 0.00 touchdowns on the ground per game (2nd percentile), Baker Mayfield rates as one of the bottom rushing quarterbacks in football this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in football vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (75.3% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest TDs in football (0.33 per game) versus the Patriots defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Buccaneers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Baker Mayfield's 64.2% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a noteable reduction in his passing precision over last year's 71.1% mark.
  • The Patriots defensive ends profile as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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