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Baker Mayfield TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-178/+160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -167 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -178.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6-point underdog in this game.

The model projects the Buccaneers as the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

With a terrific ratio of 1.71 per game (90th percentile), Baker Mayfield has been among the leading TD passers in football this year.

This year, the deficient Lions defense has allowed a colossal 2.17 passing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the highest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Baker Mayfield's passing accuracy has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 71.1% to 66.0%.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-lowest clip in football against the Lions defense this year (68.5% Adjusted Completion%).

The Lions safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Baker Mayfield Player Props

Baker Mayfield TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7