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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-113/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (59.5% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have only 126.4 total plays called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • In this week's game, Baker Mayfield is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the 9th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.7.
  • Baker Mayfield's 61.4% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteable drop-off in his throwing precision over last season's 71.1% figure.
  • This year, the stout Carolina Panthers defense has allowed a paltry 1.21 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 8th-best rate in the NFL.

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