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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-134/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.4% red zone pass rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.
  • At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
  • Baker Mayfield's passing precision has worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 71.1% to 63.3%.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-lowest rate in the league versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (68.7% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Cardinals safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

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