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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 134.1 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • Baker Mayfield's ground efficiency has improved this season, notching 7.78 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 6.54 figure last season.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (132 per game) against the New Orleans Saints defense this year.
  • The New Orleans Saints defensive tackles profile as the worst DT corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

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