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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a stellar total of 20.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (75th percentile), Baker Mayfield places as one of the leading running quarterbacks in football this year.
  • Baker Mayfield's running effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, totaling 7.75 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 6.54 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6-point underdog in this game.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run on 38.7% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
  • This year, the strong Lions run defense has yielded a puny 94.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 8th-best in the NFL.

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