My Account Log Out
 
 
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-116/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Baker Mayfield's running effectiveness has gotten better this season, totaling 7.34 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 6.54 figure last season.
  • Baker Mayfield rates as one of the top QBs in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 2.87 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 95th percentile.
  • The Panthers defense has had the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, surrendering 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry.
  • The Carolina Panthers linebackers project as the 4th-worst LB corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™