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Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buccaneers to run on 45.5% of their chances: the 9th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

Baker Mayfield's 7.50 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season represents a noteworthy improvement in his running talent over last season's 6.54 rate.

With a fantastic total of 2.87 yards-after-contact (95th percentile), Baker Mayfield stands as one of the top rushing QBs in the league this year.

The opposing side have run for the 7th-most adjusted yards in football (134 per game) against the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect Baker Mayfield to earn 3.1 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 9th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Miami's unit has been very good this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

More Baker Mayfield Player Props

Baker Mayfield Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17