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Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 4.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to be the 8th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Baker Mayfield's rushing efficiency (7.07 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (97th percentile among QBs).

Baker Mayfield is positioned as one of the leading QBs in the NFL at generating extra ground yardage, averaging an excellent 3.07 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 100th percentile.

This year, the weak Falcons run defense has given up a massive 132.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 7th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Buccaneers.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

More Baker Mayfield Player Props

Baker Mayfield Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15