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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-111/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Baker Mayfield's 7.75 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season illustrates a material progression in his running prowess over last season's 6.54 rate.
  • Baker Mayfield has been one of the top QBs in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging an exceptional 3.28 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 97th percentile.
  • The Patriots defensive ends profile as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Buccaneers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • This year, the tough New England Patriots run defense has conceded a puny 73.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the fewest in the NFL.

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